- Projected average national park may have 29 percent more species in winter, 6 percent more in summer
- their findings reinforce the importance of the U.S. National Parks to the conservation of birds in the face of climate change and the value of monitoring species distribution to better inform conservation and management strategies.
March 21, 2018 PLOS read full ScienceDaily article here
US national parks could become even more important for the conservation of bird species in the face of climate change, according to a new study.
….Wu and colleagues related species distribution models from the North American Breeding Bird Survey (summer) and Audubon Christmas Bird Count (winter) observations to climate data from the early 2000s and projected to 2041-2070. The researchers analyzed climate suitability projections over time for 513 species across 274 national parks, under a high and low greenhouse gas emission scenario. They then classified climate suitability for birds as improving, worsening, stable, potential colonization, and potential extirpation….
Joanna X. Wu, Chad B. Wilsey, Lotem Taylor, Gregor W. Schuurman. Projected avifaunal responses to climate change across the U.S. National Park System. PLOS ONE, 2018; 13 (3): e0190557 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0190557